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Where You Can Help the Most

Pledging your vote makes a 1-vote difference, but if you can donate money or volunteer, you can make a many-vote difference

We have completed our research into riding history, candidates, the polls and the campaign ground game.
Here are our Unity Candidates: the best candidate in each riding to defeat Doug Ford's PCs


Don't Just Vote - Volunteer!

With the election around the corner, turnout is critical. Volunteering with candidates to help get out the vote can make a big difference.

If you haven't signed the Unity Pledge yet, please do. If we are able to chip Ford down to a minority, the strength of our numbers helps us advocate with the parties for cooperation.
If you are not from Toronto, take a look at our partners at Cooperate For Canada for their Unity Candidates

Likely to Defeat the PCs

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Eglinton-Lawrence

In 2022, the PC incumbent won this riding by barely 500 votes--but the incumbent isn't running this time. The NDP have never been competitive in this riding. 

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York-South Weston

Fewer than 800 votes separated former incumbent Faisal Hassan from the Premier's nephew Michael Ford in 2022 in a close three-way race. Still, Hassan has strong community connections, and Mike Ford is not running again. 

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Etobicoke-Lakeshore

Fewer than 850 votes separated the PC candidate from Lee Fairclough in 2022, but she's back to do it all over again.

Must Defend from the PCs

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Humber River-Black Creek

Tom Rakocevic held this riding in 2022 in a close 3-way race with barely 1,000 votes separating the NDP, Liberals and PCs. The pollsters at the time were calling it for the Liberals. This riding is shaping up to be a close 3-way race again, but we think the incumbency advantage will once more win out.

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Scarborough-Guildwood

Elected in a hard-fought by-election after popular Liberal MPP Mitzie Hunter stepped down in 2023, Andrea Hazell continues the Liberal dynasty in Scarborough-Guildwood. This may turn out to be a safer seat, but we suspect the PCs are putting a lot of energy here.

Possible to Defeat the PCs

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Don Valley North

Jonathan Tsao ran to a strong second place finish in 2022, and is back again. The incumbent, a PC MPP who went independent following allegations of foreign election interference, is not running for the PCs and may siphon off some votes, improving our chances to take this riding  

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Willowdale

Paul Saguil
Liberal

Coming out once again for Willowdale, Paul Saguil remains this North York riding's best hope to defeat the PCs, especially as the NDP have rarely shown strength here.

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Scarborough Centre

Mazhar Shafiq is back again after a strong second-place finish in a very competitive 3-way race. The previous NDP candidate is now the TDSB Chair, and as such, we think Mazhar Shafiq has the edge.

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York Centre

Sam Nestico
Liberal

Longtime York Centre resident Sam Nestico and former Justice of the Peace is entering politics with strong connections in this riding. The Liberal party historically shown strength here, and we see no evidence of that changing.

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Scarborough-Agincourt

Peter Yuen
Liberal

The former deputy police chief Peter Yuen is a high profile candidate, and the Liberals have held a strong second place finish since losing the riding in the Liberal Party collapse during the 2018 election.

Difficult to Defeat the PCs

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Etobicoke Centre

Kinga Surma's riding will be a hard one to flip, but if anyone can, it's former city councillor and former TDSB chair John Campbell. Still, being nominated just after the election was called leaves him with a lot of ground to cover in a very short period of time. Still, defeating the Minister who sold out Ontario Place and shut down the Science Centre? Yes, please.

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Scarborough Rouge-Park

The Liberal party has a long history in Scarborough, but Rouge Park has been showing increased NDP support over the last few elections. We felt Dr. Beckford’s experience in community work along with polling data gives him the edge, but with the PC incumbent having been elected with 50% of the vote, this riding is very hard to flip.

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Etobicoke North

Julie Lutete
Liberal

As satisfying as it would be to defeat Doug Ford in his own riding, unseating the Premier is very unlikely. Still, the Liberals held this riding before, and Julie Lutete held 2nd place in 2022. Also, we are not above a petty donation or canvas on Ford's home turf.

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Scarborough North

We endorsed Anita Anandarajan in 2022. Her NDP opponent does have excellent ground game potential, but between being a past candidate and the Liberals being historically stronger in this riding, we are going Liberal here. Still, long-time city councillor turned MPP Raymond Cho will be very hard to unseat.

Low Risk to Defend

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Don Valley East

Adil Shamji may have one of the safer Liberal seats in Toronto, but we know the PCs will be out to get him, especially after that time he embarrassed them all in the House by reading out the Top Ten PC ridings by number of people without a family doctor--and yes, Doug Ford's riding was on that list. We love to see it! 

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Don Valley West

We endorsed Stephanie Bowman in 2022 and she came through by keeping former Premier Kathleen Wynne's seat out of former police chief Mark Saunders' PC hands. She's also behind the push to reveal Ford's expensive move to take Service Ontario away from local small business and into the US company Staples.

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Scarborough Southwest

We endorsed Doly Begum in 2022, even when professional pollsters predicted a toss-up, because of her phenomenal ground game--and when she won the riding again, it wasn't even close.. We expect it to stay safely in her hands, but with the PC party having achieved second place, we want to keep an eye on things.

No Risk

Beaches–East York

Davenport

Parkdale-High Park

Spadina-Fort York

Toronto Centre

Toronto Danforth

Toronto-St Paul's

University Rosedale

No Endorsement

Breathe easy. None of these ridings are competitive for the PCs. While we don't like watching the Liberals and NDP waste their time and energy slugging it out between each other when they could be cooperating and focused on defeating the PCs in other ridings, at least we don't have to worry about more Ford seats in the legislature from here.

If you live in one of these ridings, consider volunteering or donating to another, more competitive campaign.

Contact Us

Email us: info AT NotOneSeat DOT ca

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This is a 100% volunteer campaign, and all messaging is 100% organic - not paid. Not One Seat is committed to fair and just democracy, and is compliant with all relevant Elections Ontario regulations.

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